Strength
Strength
|
42 22 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
931 315 Strength Momentum |
970 36.7(62) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.000 | 1463 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 666 | 8% | |
| 08/26/15 | at Del Norte ? | 0.000 | 895 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 723 | 52% | |
| 08/29/15 | La Cueva | 0.000 | 1493 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 680 | 7% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.001 | 964 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 809 | 44% | |
| 09/03/15 | West Mesa ! | 0.001 | 889 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 948 | 57% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Moriarty ?? | 0.003 | 458 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-6) | 606 | 89% | |
| 09/12/15 | Belen | 0.007 | 975 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 891 | 48% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Cibola | 0.002 | 1546 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 730 | 4% | |
| 09/17/15 | Manzano | 0.008 | 1120 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 762 | 32% | |
| 09/24/15 | Del Norte | 0.041 | 895 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 801 | 57% | |
| 09/26/15 | at West Mesa !! | 0.059 | 889 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 972 | 52% | |
| 09/30/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.097 | 964 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 886 | 49% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.093 | 1514 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 981 | 5% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Valley | 0.220 | 1049 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 952 | 35% | |
| 10/14/15 | West Mesa | 0.401 | 889 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 898 | 57% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.495 | 964 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 959 | 44% | |
| 10/21/15 | Albuquerque | 0.163 | 1514 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-1) | 854 | 6% | |
| 10/23/15 | Valley | 0.660 | 1049 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 928 | 40% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Grande actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 970, while
Rio Grande's "weighted playing strength" is 924
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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